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PRMIA PRM Certification - Exam III: Risk Management Frameworks, Operational Risk, Credit Risk, Counterparty Risk, Market Risk, ALM, FTP - 2015 Edition Sample Questions:

1. A stock that follows the Weiner process has its future price determined by:

A) its current price, expected return and standard deviation
B) its standard deviation and past technical movements
C) its expected return alone
D) its expected return and standard deviation

2. The probability of default of a security during the first year after issuance is 3%, that during the second and third years is 4%, and during the fourth year is 5%. What is the probability that it would not have defaulted at the end of four years from now?

A) 12.00%
B) 88.53%
C) 84.93%
D) 88.00%

3. Consider a portfolio with a large number of uncorrelated assets, each carrying an equal weight in the portfolio.
Which of the following statements accurately describes the volatility of the portfolio?

A) The volatility of the portfolio will be equal to the square root of the sum of the variances of the assets in the portfolio weighted by the square of their weights
B) The volatility of the portfolio will be close to zero
C) The volatility of the portfolio will be equal to the weighted average of the volatility of the assets in the portfolio
D) The volatility of the portfolio is the same as that of the market

4. A portfolio's 1-day VaR at the 99% confidence level is $250m. What is the annual volatility of the portfolio?
(assuming 250 days in the year)

A) $107.5m
B) $2,410.3m
C) $1,699.4m
D) $3,952.8m

5. If the full notional value of a debt portfolio is $100m, its expected value in a year is $85m, and the worst value of the portfolio in one year's time at 99% confidence level is $60m, then what is the credit VaR?

A) $25m
B) $60m
C) $15m
D) $40m

Solutions: